EXECUTIVE SUMMARY


Washington residents and businesses spent $8.4 billion on energy in 1993. This constituted six percent of the gross state product. This 1993 value was about half the peak value of 11.6 percent in 1981 and was equivalent to 1970 levels. Total end-use energy consumption was 1,143 trillion Btu (Tbtu), comparable to levels in the period from 1990 to 1992.

Total end-use energy consumption in the state grew 51 percent between 1970 and 1993. Three quarters of this growth occurred from 1983 to 1990. Growth in transportation energy consumption accounted for 77 percent of the growth in total end-use energy consumption from 1970 to 1993. This growth was driven by a 135-percent increase in vehicle miles of travel, which resulted from population growth and a 53-percent increase in per capita travel. Since petroleum is the primary fuel used by the transportation sector, growth in transportation consumption has maintained the state's dependence on this fuel. Petroleum accounted for 51 percent of the energy consumed in Washington in 1993.

Average energy prices in Washington declined 38 percent in constant dollars from their peak in the early 1980s to 1993. Natural gas and gasoline prices led the decline. However, 1993 average energy prices were still a third higher than in 1970 (gasoline was the only major fuel with lower prices). Energy prices rose sharply from 1973 to 1975 during the first energy crisis and from 1978 to 1982 due in part to the 1978 Iranian revolution (this was the heyday of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries). Washington state energy prices followed national price trends and historically were about 5 to 10 percent lower.

Energy intensity in the four end-use sectors (transportation, industrial, commercial, residential) declined from 1970 to 1993 as expressed by the energy intensity indicators selected for those sectors. Likewise, energy cost intensity for the sectors dropped from energy price induced peak levels in the early 1980s.

Lower energy costs for businesses and consumers were due to reductions in energy intensity and energy prices. Decreases in energy intensity were due to improvements in energy efficiency and in economic trends such as the shift to lower energy intensity, high value added industries. The fact that energy intensity remained stable or declined during the late-1980s when the economy experienced moderate growth and energy prices were stable suggests that long-term gains in energy efficiency have been achieved.

Energy consumption per person in Washington State was relatively steady from 1970 to 1993. However, transportation energy consumption per person grew 32 percent during this period, while non-transportation energy consumption per person declined 23 percent. Historically energy consumption per person in Washington state has been 5 to 10 percent less than the rest of the United States. However, that trend reversed in the mid-1980s. In 1993, Washington State per capita consumption again dipped below the United State's. Both the United States and Washington State have per capita energy consumption that is more than twice as much as other developed countries like Germany, England and Japan and five to 10 times greater than that of the rest of the world.

Emissions of greenhouse gases due to the consumption of energy fuels increased 53 percent from 1970 to 1993. The rate of growth is greater than the growth in energy consumption because of increased reliance on fossil fuels. Fossil fuels are the greatest contributors to greenhouse gas emissions. The share of total energy consumption from renewable sources like hydroelectricity (which produces no greenhouse gas emissions) has declined.

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